ON THE ICE

Researchers Are Gathering Data Off the Coast of Antarctica to Improve Forecasts of Future Sea-level Rise

Glacier

“My selfish romanticized notion of touching Antarctica has quickly morphed into reality: Antarctica is cold and desolate, and I’m pretty sure it wants to kill us.” 
— Aboard the THOR

Glacier

Antarctica is one of the most remote spots on Earth, roughly the size of the United States and Mexico combined and home to a rotating roster of scientists.

The Amundsen Sea off Antarctica’s western shore is even more isolated. But the icy expanse is proving to be fertile ground for researchers, plowing the waters in search of clues that will help scientists more accurately predict future sea-level rise.

Julia Wellner, associate professor of geology in the University of Houston’s College of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, has been directing two projects that took place in the Amundsen Sea this spring. UH Ph.D. students Delaney Robinson and Rachel Clark were there, too, working on specialized ships that spent February and most of March dodging icebergs and plowing through sea ice in the service of science.

Julia Wellner, associate professor of geology in the University of Houston’s College of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, has been directing two projects that took place in the Amundsen Sea this spring. UH Ph.D. student (left) Delaney Robinson and Rachel Clark were there, too, working on specialized ships that spent February and most of March dodging icebergs and plowing through sea ice in the service of science.

Their respective missions: 

  • An international effort to study the Thwaites Glacier, involving dozens of researchers from the United States and the United Kingdom, funded by the U.S. National Science Foundation and the Natural Environment Research Council in the UK. Wellner and Robert Larter, a marine geophysicist for the British Antarctic Survey, are co-principal investigators on the marine geology project, Thwaites Offshore Research, known as THOR. The effort will continue until 2022.
  • The International Ocean Discovery Program (IODP) Expedition 379 had scientists – led by co-chief scientists Wellner and Karsten Gohl, senior scientist at the Alfred Wegner Institute in Germany – aboard the JOIDES Resolution scientific drill ship. Funded by NSF and its international partners, Expedition 379 was charged with collecting sediment cores and logging data in the Amundsen Sea Embayment to investigate the development and sensitivity of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet.

These are two missions, but they have one goal. 

UH Ph.D. student Rachel Clark (left) examines sediment core. Photo: Linda Welzenbach, Rice University

Both groups set sail from Chile in the early part of this year. Wellner and Robinson were on the JOIDES Resolution, for the drill ship’s first trip to the Amundsen Sea; Wellner, who was making her 10th trip to Antarctica, kept tabs on her THOR team via satellite phone and email. Clark is part of the THOR team, sailing aboard the Nathaniel B. Palmer research vessel.

Both ships were collecting sediment cores, which researchers are studying to reconstruct where the ice has been in the past. Coupling that information with records of past water temperatures will allow scientists to predict future glacier behavior as the surrounding seawater grows warmer.

Delaney Robinson and Julia Wellner

Julia Wellner, associate professor of geology in the University of Houston’s College of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, has been directing two projects that took place in the Amundsen Sea this spring. UH Ph.D. student (left) Delaney Robinson and Rachel Clark were there, too, working on specialized ships that spent February and most of March dodging icebergs and plowing through sea ice in the service of science.

Julia Wellner, associate professor of geology in the University of Houston’s College of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, has been directing two projects that took place in the Amundsen Sea this spring. UH Ph.D. student (left) Delaney Robinson and Rachel Clark were there, too, working on specialized ships that spent February and most of March dodging icebergs and plowing through sea ice in the service of science.

Rachel Clark

UH Ph.D. student Rachel Clark (left) examines sediment core. Photo: Linda Welzenbach, Rice University

UH Ph.D. student Rachel Clark (left) examines sediment core. Photo: Linda Welzenbach, Rice University

EARLY RESULTS

Scientists aboard the THOR cruise were able to collect data farther south than they planned as floating ice broke up more than expected. Early results indicate a high sedimentation rate, suggesting things are changing rapidly.

Lone walker

Photo: Linda Welzenbach, Rice University

Photo: Linda Welzenbach, Rice University

Wellner doesn’t make predictions of how far and how fast sea levels will rise. But accurate predictions require an understanding of how the glaciers have behaved in the past, and the study of those sediment cores, composed of sand, silt and mud, offer clues to how and when the sediment was deposited in decades and centuries – even millennia – past.

The work is crucial for helping nations prepare for the impact of future warming, because the Antarctic ice holds so much frozen freshwater – a complete collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet alone could result in a global sea level rise of as much as 4.3 meters, or about 14 feet.

While the two projects differ in scope, Wellner said the science goals are essentially the same. “We are determining how the ice behaved in the past in each of these projects, just at different timescales. Both projects aim to understand the controls on past ice flow so we can have a better idea about how it will behave in the future.”

Victoria Fitzgerald, a NSF graduate research fellow and geology Ph.D. student at the University of Alabama, described working on a rocky outcropping along the coast.

“To say the wind hurts is an understatement,” she wrote on the THOR blog. This isn’t an island that you can relax and drink a margarita on. It’s a stone desert filled with ice, penguin poop, and Adelie penguin parents who are running in all directions away from their tenacious chicks who are begging for another snack.

“My selfish romanticized notion of touching Antarctica has quickly morphed into reality: Antarctica is cold and desolate, and I’m pretty sure it wants to kill us.”

She meant that in a good way, of course. Still, Antarctica isn’t for everyone.

Before leaving on the expedition, Wellner told one reporter that working in Antarctica meant 12-hour days, seven days a week for two months or so.

The good news? There’s not much to do except work.

And that work, she said, can be amazing.

“The true excitement of a science cruise like this is the discovery that happens in real time,” she said.

That’s especially true in Antarctica, where glacial melting means ships working at the edge of the ice may be in a spot where no ships have ever been.

“We can see something for the very first time,” she said simply, “and know the pure excitement of discovery.”